- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Flat
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $95.74 (+1.00%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.8%
- Naive MAPE
- 7.6%
- Skill
- -2%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.8% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 7.6% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.85) points to $95.74 (+1.00% from $94.79), with an 80% interval of $86.31–$105.17 (±9.9%). RSI(14) is 55.9 (bullish), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.8% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 35%.