- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum RSI 48
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $90.81 (-0.49%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.6%
- Naive MAPE
- 7.4%
- Skill
- -3%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.6% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 7.4% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.85) points to $90.81 (-0.50% from $91.26), with an 80% interval of $81.91–$99.70 (±9.7%). RSI(14) is 47.9 (neutral), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.6% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 40%.