- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $92.40 (+2.64%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 9.6%
- Naive MAPE
- 9.8%
- Skill
- +2%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 9.6% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 9.8% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.90) points to $92.40 (+2.64% from $90.02), with an 80% interval of $81.28–$103.51 (±12.3%). RSI(14) is 61.4 (bullish), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 9.6% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 28%.