- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Overbought
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $90.22 (+4.32%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 6.7%
- Naive MAPE
- 7.6%
- Skill
- +12%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 6.7% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 7.6% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.98) points to $90.22 (+4.33% from $86.48), with an 80% interval of $82.82–$97.63 (±8.6%). RSI(14) is 74.8 (overbought), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 6.7% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 12%. Confidence: 50%.