- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Overbought
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $105.59 (+6.61%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 6.4%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.8%
- Skill
- +28%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 6.4% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.8% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast points to $105.59 (+6.61% from $99.04), with an 80% interval of $97.52–$113.66 (±8.2%). RSI(14) is 78.6 (overbought), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 6.4% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 28%. Confidence: 56%.