- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum RSI 52
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $91.04 (+0.55%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 6.6%
- Naive MAPE
- 7.0%
- Skill
- +6%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 6.6% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 7.0% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.98) points to $91.04 (+0.56% from $90.54), with an 80% interval of $83.39–$98.70 (±8.5%). RSI(14) is 52.1 (neutral), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 6.6% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 44%.