- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bearish
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $75.17 (+0.00%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 8.2%
- Naive MAPE
- 6.9%
- Skill
- -19%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 8.2% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 6.9% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.90) points to $75.17 (+0.00% from $75.17), with an 80% interval of $67.27–$83.07 (±10.5%). RSI(14) is 31.2 (bearish), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 8.2% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model underperforms naive baseline by 19%. Confidence: 37%.