- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Overbought
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $104.03 (+7.23%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 7.3%
- Naive MAPE
- 8.6%
- Skill
- +15%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 7.3% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 8.6% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast points to $104.03 (+7.23% from $97.02), with an 80% interval of $94.96–$113.10 (±9.4%). RSI(14) is 85.2 (overbought), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 7.3% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model beats naive baseline by 15%. Confidence: 47%.