- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum Bullish
- MACD Above signal
- Regime Golden cross
On recent history the model was no more accurate than assuming no change, so no projected price is shown.
- Model MAPE
- 8.2%
- Naive MAPE
- 7.7%
- Skill
- -6%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 8.2% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 7.7% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: no 7-day forecast. Over the last 30 sessions the damped Holt model's 7-day-ahead error (8.1% MAPE) was no better than assuming the price stays where it is (7.7% MAPE), so we don't publish a point forecast. RSI(14) is 63.3 (bullish), MACD histogram is above signal (bullish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend.