- Trend Uptrend
- Momentum RSI 47
- MACD Below signal
- Regime Golden cross
Model projection · 7 days $86.66 (-1.01%)
Damped-Holt point forecast 7 days ahead, anchored to the live spot price. The signal stack above carries the bulk of the directional information; treat the dollar value as one input among many.
- Model MAPE
- 6.2%
- Naive MAPE
- 6.0%
- Skill
- -3%
- Sessions
- 30
Out-of-sample backtest over the last 30 trading sessions: 6.2% MAPE on 7 days forecasts vs 6.0% MAPE for a naive 'no change' baseline.
WTI Crude Oil: 7-day damped Holt forecast (damping φ=0.95) points to $86.66 (-1.01% from $87.54), with an 80% interval of $79.76–$93.56 (±7.9%). RSI(14) is 46.6 (neutral), MACD histogram is below signal (bearish), and the 50/200-day MA configuration suggests an uptrend. Recent 30-step backtest: 6.2% MAPE on 7-day-ahead forecasts — model essentially matches naive baseline. Confidence: 45%.